influence function
Extending Kernel Trick to Influence Functions
Sun, Zhenhuan, Valaee, Shahrokh
In this paper, we present a dual representation of the influence functions, whose computational complexity scales with dataset size rather than model size. Both analytically and experimentally, we show that this representation can be an efficient alternative to the original influence functions for estimating changes in parameters, model outputs and loss due to data point removal, when model size is large relative to dataset size, or when evaluating the original influence functions in parameter space is infeasible. The dual representation, however, is limited to linearizable models, which are models whose behavior can be approximated by their linearizations throughout training, and requires materializing a matrix, whose size grows with the product of model output dimension and dataset size.
Causal Fairness for Survival Analysis
In the data-driven era, large-scale datasets are routinely collected and analyzed using machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) to inform decisions in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, employment, and criminal justice, raising concerns about the fairness behavior of these systems. Existing works in fair ML cover tasks such as bias detection, fair prediction, and fair decision-making, but largely focus on static settings. At the same time, fairness in temporal contexts, particularly survival/time-to-event (TTE) analysis, remains relatively underexplored, with current approaches to fair survival analysis adopting statistical fairness definitions, which, even with unlimited data, cannot disentangle the causal mechanisms that generate disparities. To address this gap, we develop a causal framework for fairness in TTE analysis, enabling the decomposition of disparities in survival into contributions from direct, indirect, and spurious pathways. This provides a human-understandable explanation of why disparities arise and how they evolve over time. Our non-parametric approach proceeds in four steps: (1) formalizing the necessary assumptions about censoring and lack of confounding using a graphical model; (2) recovering the conditional survival function given covariates; (3) applying the Causal Reduction Theorem to reframe the problem in a form amenable to causal pathway decomposition; (4) estimating the effects efficiently. Finally, our approach is used to analyze the temporal evolution of racial disparities in outcome after admission to an intensive care unit (ICU).
Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks
Patil, Gandharv, Tang, Keyi, Aoki, Raquel, Guelman, Leo
Individual treatment effects are not point-identified from data. The Probability of Necessity and Sufficiency (PNS) circumvents this limitation by characterizing individual-level causality through intersection bounds derived from combined experimental and observational data. In finite samples, however, standard plug-in estimators systematically fail: they violate structural probability constraints and suffer from extremum bias induced by max-min operators, yielding spuriously narrow intervals. We propose a neural framework for finite-sample PNS estimation that resolves both pathologies. We introduce an anchored neural architecture that guarantees structural constraint satisfaction by construction. To correct extremum bias, we employ precision-corrected intersection-bound inference, leveraging Epistemic Neural Networks for scalable, high-dimensional uncertainty quantification. Empirical evaluations confirm that this approach maintains nominal coverage and exact constraint validity in high-dimensional regimes where standard estimators systematically undercover.
Explaining and Preventing Alignment Collapse in Iterative RLHF
Gauthier, Etienne, Bach, Francis, Jordan, Michael I.
Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) typically assumes a static or non-strategic reward model (RM). In iterative deployment, however, the policy generates the data on which the RM is retrained, creating a feedback loop. Building on the Stackelberg game formulation of this interaction, we derive an analytical decomposition of the policy's true optimization gradient into a standard policy gradient and a parameter-steering term that captures the policy's influence on the RM's future parameters. We show that standard iterative RLHF, which drops this steering term entirely, suffers from alignment collapse: the policy systematically exploits the RM's blind spots, producing low-quality, high-reward outputs whose feedback reinforces the very errors it exploits. To mitigate this, we propose foresighted policy optimization (FPO), a mechanism-design intervention that restores the missing steering term by regularizing the policy's parameter-steering effect on RM updates. We instantiate FPO via a scalable first-order approximation and demonstrate that it prevents alignment collapse on both controlled environments and an LLM alignment pipeline using Llama-3.2-1B.
Concave Statistical Utility Maximization Bandits via Influence-Function Gradients
Carrasco, Matรญas, Cholaquidis, Alejandro
We study stochastic multi-armed bandits in which the objective is a statistical functional of the long-run reward distribution, rather than expected reward alone. Under mild continuity assumptions, we show that the infinite-horizon problem reduces to optimizing over stationary mixed policies: each weight vector \(w\) on the simplex induces a mixture law \(P^w\), and performance is measured by the concave utility \(U(w)=\mathfrak U(P^w)\). For differentiable statistical utilities, we use influence-function calculus to derive stochastic gradient estimators from bandit feedback. This leads to an entropic mirror-ascent algorithm on a truncated simplex, implemented through multiplicative-weights updates and plug-in estimates of the influence function. We establish regret bounds that separate the mirror-ascent optimization error from the bias caused by estimating the influence function. The framework is developed for general concave distributional utilities and illustrated through variance and Wasserstein objectives, with numerical experiments comparing exact and plug-in influence-function implementations.
Self-Adaptable Point Processes with Nonparametric Time Decays
Many applications involve multi-type event data. Understanding the complex influences of the events on each other is critical to discover useful knowledge and to predict future events and their types. Existing methods either ignore or partially account for these influences. Recent works use recurrent neural networks to model the event rate. While being highly expressive, they couple all the temporal dependencies in a black-box and can hardly extract meaningful knowledge. More important, most methods assume an exponential time decay of the influence strength, which is over-simplified and can miss many important strength varying patterns.
AGeneral Framework for Auditing Differentially Private Machine Learning
We present a framework to statistically audit the privacy guarantee conferred by a differentially private machine learner in practice. While previous works have taken steps toward evaluating privacy loss through poisoning attacks or membership inference, they have been tailored to specific models or have demonstrated low statistical power. Our work develops a general methodology to empirically evaluate the privacy of differentially private machine learning implementations, combining improved privacy search and verification methods with a toolkit of influence-based poisoning attacks. We demonstrate significantly improved auditing power over previous approaches on a variety of models including logistic regression, Naive Bayes, and random forest. Our method can be used to detect privacy violations due to implementation errors or misuse. When violations are not present, it can aid in understanding the amount of information that can be leaked from a given dataset, algorithm, and privacy specification.
Understanding Programmatic Weak Supervision via Source-aware Influence Function
Programmatic Weak Supervision (PWS) aggregates the source votes of multiple weak supervision sources into probabilistic training labels, which are in turn used to train an end model. With its increasing popularity, it is critical to have some tool for users to understand the influence of each component (e.g., the source vote or training data) in the pipeline and interpret the end model behavior. To achieve this, we build on Influence Function (IF) and propose source-aware IF2, which leverages the generation process of the probabilistic labels to decompose the end model's training objective and then calculate the influence associated with each (data, source, class) tuple. These primitive influence score can then be used to estimate the influence of individual component of PWS, such as source vote, supervision source, and training data. On datasets of diverse domains, we demonstrate multiple use cases: (1) interpreting incorrect predictions from multiple angles that reveals insights for debugging the PWS pipeline, (2) identifying mislabeling of sources with a gain of 9%-37% over baselines, and (3) improving the end model's generalization performance by removing harmful components in the training objective (13%-24% better than ordinary IF).